Ok, as I've said McCain is the toughest candidate for either Obama or Hillary to beat. According to today's Rasmussen Poll, he would beat Obama 47-41 (six points) and Hillary 48-40 (eight points).
But here's the other thing:
Hillary Clinton is currently viewed favorably by 47%, unfavorably by 51%. Barack Obama is viewed favorably by 51%, unfavorably by 45%.
Hillary has a really high unfavorable rating, which puts a cap on the amount of votes she can ever potentially pull in, whereas Obama has more potential to pull in more votes. As I've said, Clinton tends to unite some Independents and Republicans in anti-Clintonism, whereas Obama has the potential to draw in more Independents and Repubs - he'd at least has greater potential to win.
Late breaking good news - new polls have Obama closing previously huge gaps, making California and Massachusetts competitive. And because delegates are proportional, even being close could be good enough.
1 comment:
Abortions for some, miniature american flags for others.
Don't blame me, I voted for Kodos.
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