Achtung! Hillary

Politico explores five reasons why "Hillary should be worried" after Tuesday's results. Check the article for actual analysis, but here's the bullet points:

1. She lost the delegate derby.
2. She essentially tied Obama in the popular vote.
3. She lost more states.
4. She lost the January cash war.
5. The calendar is her enemy.

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Before I Pass Out....

Was up early doing Get Out the Vote, so crashing. Obama won't win California, hopefully it will be close enough to get some delegates. Missouri's really tight. And I leave you with this:

Analysis: Clinton and Obama Start Anew

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Brooklyn!

It was given Hillary was going to win NY - heck, its her state. It was just a question about getting enough votes to take some delegates from her. And she did win - but check it out: of all the boroughs, you made it close, Brooklyn!

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The BS Starts Again

I was starting to dig and respect Hillary's campaign a lot more, but then they start this kinda thing all over. This from the Clinton campaign after their win in Massachusetts:

One of the biggest surprises of the night is Massachusetts. Despite the fact that Senators Ted Kennedy and John Kerry were actively supporting and campaigning for Obama, Hillary Clinton won the state. Despite the fact that the Governor of Massachusetts endorsed Obama, Hillary Clinton won the state. Despite the fact that Obama visited Massachusetts just last night, Hillary Clinton won the state. This is a strong victory and shows that Hillary Clinton has strength in places where Barack Obama was expected to win.

Sounds good. But its not true. Yes, Obama had the support of Kerry and Kennedy - for the last week (ok, Kerry for a week longer). But Massachusetts was a stronghold of Clinton support - if Obama had won there it would've been a HUGE upset. Look at this:

That's the poll trends over the past YEAR. She was up as much as 20 points in polls a week ago. You can see Obama closed the gap to about 10 points in the last week - pretty amazing in and of itself, but in no way was he expected to win. Again, spin is one thing, but trying to manipulate the public by hoping they are not paying close attention and spinning an expected win as a come from behind triumph? C'mon. 

NOTE: Just saw this nearly identical post at AmericaBlog "Massachusetts was not an upset."

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